What the Bank of Canada rate cut means for mortgages, loans and investments (2024)

From prime rates to savings accounts to GICs. Here is what you need to know

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What the Bank of Canada rate cut means for mortgages, loans and investments (1)

The Canadian Press

Ian Bickis

Published Jun 05, 2024Last updated Jun 06, 20243 minute read

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What the Bank of Canada rate cut means for mortgages, loans and investments (2)

The Bank of Canada has lowered its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.75 per cent, the first cut in more than four years. Here’s what it could mean for your finances.

What the Bank of Canada rate cut means for mortgages, loans and investments (3)

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What does it mean for consumers and prime rates?

The Bank of Canada’s benchmark rate affects borrowing costs for banks, which means they’re able, but not forced, to lower their own lending rates.

What the Bank of Canada rate cut means for mortgages, loans and investments (5)

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Banks are generally very quick to move their prime rate higher in tandem with Bank of Canada hikes. They’ve been less consistent on the way down. But when the central bank last lowered its rate four years ago, banks did follow suit within a day.

Canadian banks also have more flexibility in deciding to cut than they used to. Banks choose how much interest they add to the Bank of Canada rate, and that buffer has widened over the past couple of decades.

From the mid-1990s to 2008, the added margin averaged around 1.5 per cent. It rose to 1.75 per cent until around 2015, and since then has stood at around two per cent added to the bank rate.

What does it mean for my mortgage?

If banks move their prime rate down, it will have an immediate effect on borrowers with variable-rate mortgages, just as they’ve felt the brunt of rising rates.

Those with a fixed-rate mortgage will not see their payments change until it comes time to renew their loans.

Fixed-mortgage rates are determined by what happens to the bond market, which, while also affected by Bank of Canada rate decisions, is based on overall investor confidence. The market had already largely priced in the rate cut.

What the Bank of Canada rate cut means for mortgages, loans and investments (6)

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How much savings on a mortgage can be expected from the rate cut?

A quarter-percentage-point cut doesn’t translate into a major change in monthly mortgage payments. Someone with a $600,000 mortgage, 25-year amortization and a six per cent interest rate would save about $88 a month if the rate was 5.75 per cent.

Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem did say it’s “reasonable” to expect further cuts, but that the central bank is making its interest rate decisions one at a time.

Toronto-Dominion Bank is predicting the central bank will cut rates two more times by the end of the year to bring the benchmark to 4.25 per cent, while Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce and Royal Bank of Canada are predicting three more cuts, which would bring the key rate to an even four per cent. A full percentage point off the $600,000 mortgage would translate into about $349 a month in savings.

What does it mean for lines of credit and credit cards?

Lines of credit are generally tied to bank prime rates, so borrowers should see some savings if banks reduce their prime rates.

Credit-card rates are more fixed, so consumers shouldn’t expect much of a break there.

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What does it mean for my savings account rate and GICs?

Savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates have had higher returns as rates rose, and that could reverse if prime rates go down in line with the Bank of Canada.

The relationship between borrowing costs for financial institutions and savings rates isn’t strictly linear, said Shannon Terrell, a personal finance expert at NerdWallet Inc. But banks generally move savings rates down to compensate for the lower lending rates they’re offering.

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She said customers could see rates start to go down on savings products in the coming days or weeks, with most following suit once one has.

Overall, she said it can be a good time to comparison shop as smaller banks, digital banks and credit unions may keep savings rates higher in an effort to lure customers.

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What the Bank of Canada rate cut means for mortgages, loans and investments (2024)

FAQs

How the Bank of Canada rate hike will affect your mortgage? ›

This is because rate hikes not only increase mortgage payments temporarily but also reduce the share of these payments that pay off the principal. A few years of higher rates will therefore lead to a household having a larger remaining balance to repay, negatively affecting borrowers' consumption in the future.

What does the Bank of Canada rate cut mean? ›

Bottom line: If your lender's prime rate decreases in response to the BoC's interest rate cut, as a variable rate mortgage holder you will benefit in one of two ways: Either your regular mortgage payment will decrease, or more of your mortgage payment will be directed toward your mortgage principal, meaning you could ...

What is the mortgage rate forecast for Canada? ›

(June 2024) The BoC Policy Rate increased by 75 basis points (1 basis point is equal to 0.01%) in 2023. A range of predictions from the Big 6 Banks in Canada so far indicate that interest rates should start to decrease by 25 basis points and close out the year with a decrease of around 75 to 100 basis points.

What does it mean when banks cut interest rates? ›

Some of the positive impacts from lowering interest rates are: Lower borrowing rates for both consumers and businesses. This will incentivize consumers to spend and businesses to invest in projects thus injecting capital into the economy.

Will mortgage rates go down in 2024 in Canada? ›

While the variable rate mortgage is directly affected by the Central Bank decisions, we will likely see fixed rates as determined by bond yields, generally trend lower throughout 2024 – but not in a straight line and weighted towards the second half of the year.

Who benefits from higher interest rates in Canada? ›

Higher rates encourage people to save more money because financial institutions offer higher interest rates on savings. Investment products like guaranteed investment certificates, called GICs for short, and high-interest savings accounts offer better returns when rates are higher.

Should I lock in my mortgage rate in Canada? ›

Generally, if you do not have to pay anything for the mortgage rate lock-in, it is worth getting it. A mortgage rate lock-in allows you to get a mortgage faster and potentially at a better rate when buying a house. If a mortgage rate lock-in costs money, you should consider whether it is worth getting it.

What is the Bank of Canada's interest rate today? ›

What is the Bank of Canada's key interest rate right now? The Bank of Canada's key interest rate is 4.75 per cent.

What does Canada's interest rate hike mean? ›

A rise in interest rates often means that it will cost you more to borrow money. A rise in interest rates may affect you if: you have a mortgage, a line of credit or other loans with variable interest rates. you'll need to renew a fixed interest rate mortgage or loan.

What will Canadian mortgage rates be in 2025? ›

Forecast of Lowest Mortgage Interest Rates as of June 27, 2024
DateBoC Rate5-Year Variable
2025-12-313.5%4.45%
2026-06-303.25%4.2%
2026-12-313%3.95%
2027-06-303%3.95%
7 more rows

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

In summary, it is unlikely that mortgage rates in the US will ever reach 3% again, at least not in the foreseeable future.

What is the mortgage rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

MBA: Rates Will Decline to 6.6% In its June Mortgage Finance Forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that mortgage rates will fall from 7% in the second quarter of 2024 to 6.6% by the fourth quarter. The industry group expects rates will fall to 6% at the end of 2025 and will average 5.8% in 2026.

Is a rate cut good or bad? ›

The Fed lowers interest rates in order to stimulate economic growth, as lower financing costs can encourage borrowing and investing. However, when rates are too low, they can spur excessive growth and subsequent inflation, reducing purchasing power and undermining the sustainability of the economic expansion.

What happens after rate cuts? ›

Annual percentage rates will start to come down when the Fed cuts rates, but even then they will only ease off extremely high levels. With only a few potential quarter-point cuts on deck, APRs would still be around 20% by the end of 2024, McBride said.

What do rate cuts mean for mortgage rates? ›

For people planning to buy a new home or property, though, a cut to the federal funds target rate generally means they can expect to lock in a good rate at the outset, one that may stay favorable as the economy recovers and rates go back up.

How does the interest rate hike affect my mortgage? ›

As the variable rate rises, more of your mortgage payment goes towards the interest and less to the principal portion of your mortgage balance. Your amortization period may increase, which means it'll take longer to pay off your mortgage balance than originally planned.

How much will a rate increase affect my mortgage? ›

If you're on a discount or standard variable rate mortgage, it's likely that when the base rate rises, you'll see an increase in your mortgage payments too, but the specific amount is determined by your lender. The same applies if base rate decreases.

How does a rate increase affect your mortgage? ›

How do interest rates affect monthly mortgage payments? If the rise in interest rates has caused your mortgage rate to rise, your monthly mortgage payments will also cost more.

How does rising interest rates affect mortgage lenders? ›

Lenders assess not only whether a borrower will be able to afford their mortgage now, but also whether they will be able to afford it in the future. Lenders use 'stress-tested' interest rates that are above expected mortgage rates, as they add in a buffer if interest rates were to increase by more than expected.

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