Population Losers (2024)

California's population dipped below 39 million as of July, according to the Census Bureau, after seeing its net domestic migration loss this year exceed last year's. Only New York has seen a greater loss as a percentage of population.

3 minute read

December 28, 2023, 8:00 AM PST

By Irvin Dawid

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A recent post noted the five Southern statesresponsible for 75 percent of the nation's population growth from July 1, 2022 to July 1, 2023 according to U.S. Census Bureau data released on December 19. What about the population losers?

“California was one of just eight states that lost population between 2022 and 2023, according to the Census Bureau,” reportsChristian Leonardfor the San Francisco Chronicle on Dec 21. “New York had by far the biggest percentage decline, losing about 102,000 people, or 0.5% of the population.”

In fact, New York's population loss last year was also the nation's highest. More on New York below.

California’s populationdipped by about 75,000 from 2022 to 2023, estimates released Tuesday by the Census Bureau shows, with about 38,965,000 million people in the state this year,” adds Leonard in the source article, “the lowest count since 2015.”

[Related:California Decline: Population Likely Peaked Three Years Ago,July 27, 2023]

Net domestic migration

The net outflow of residents, known as net domestic migration, or more specifically, negative net domestic migration, is staggering from the Golden State which has grown in population continuously since statehood in 1850 until 2020.

About 338,000 more people left California for other states than vice versa from July 2022 to July 2023, the Census Bureau data shows. That’s slightly greater than the 333,000 from 2021 to 2022, and the most of any state. Californiahistorically losesmore people to the rest of the country than it gains.

Empire State losses

“New York’s population decreased by 101,984 residents—the largest loss of any state—during the 12-month period that ended last July 1, according tojust-released Census Bureau estimates,” reportedE.J. McMahonfor the Empire Centeron December 19.

The Empire State’s population as of mid-2023 was pegged at 19,571,216, a cumulative decline of 631,104 from the Census Bureau’s updated April 2020 base count.

The 12-month trend for the period ending last July 1 was driven by a net outflow of 216,778 New Yorkers to the rest of the country — meaning 216,778 more people moved out of the Empire State than moved in from other states during the previous 12 months.

The six other losers

“Eleven states that lost population in 2022 are now seeing gains: New Jersey (30,024), Ohio (26,238), Minnesota (23,615), Massachusetts (18,659), Maryland (16,272), Michigan (3,980), Kansas (3,830), Rhode Island (2,120), New Mexico (895), Mississippi (762), and Alaska (130)," according to the Census Bureau.

The six other states that lost population in the year ending July 1, 2023:

  • Illinois (-32,826)
  • Louisiana (-14,274)
  • Pennsylvania (-10,408)
  • Oregon (-6,021)
  • Hawaii (-4,261)
  • West Virginia (-3,964)

Additional reading on California's staggering population loss:

FULL STORY: The California exodus continues. Chart shows how unusual the population drop was

Thursday, December 21, 2023 in San Francisco Chronicle

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FAQs

What is the fastest declining city in America? ›

Philadelphia City, Pennsylvania

The fastest declining large city in the US, Philadelphia is also the sixth largest city in the US in terms of population as of 2023, Philadelphia's population sat at 1.5 million in 2023. Between 2020 and 2023, the population has dropped by 3.13%.

Why is population decline a good thing? ›

Fundamentally, a reduced global population translates to lower demand for resources such as water, wood, and energy, ultimately alleviating pressures on ecosystems. When considering this, one could argue that global population decline is a positive trend.

How do you solve population loss? ›

CHALLENGING CULTURAL NORMS. Challenging cultural norms about what it means to be a parent may also offer solutions for young families. A more equal sharing between women and men of income-earning, household, and childcare responsibilities could encourage more young people to start families.

What are the top 5 states losing population? ›

15 Fastest Declining States in the US
  • Massachusetts. ...
  • New Mexico. ...
  • Maryland. ...
  • California. ...
  • Rhode Island. ...
  • Pennsylvania. Percentage Change in Population (2021-2022): -0.3% ...
  • Mississippi. Percentage Change in Population (2021-2022): -0.3% ...
  • Oregon. Percentage Change in Population (2021-2022): -0.4%
Mar 28, 2024

What is the most booming city in America? ›

Fastest-Growing Places in the U.S. in 2024-2025
  • Fort Myers, FL.
  • Killeen, TX.
  • Port St. Lucie, FL.
  • Daytona Beach, FL.
  • Tallahassee, FL.
  • Ocala, FL.
  • Baton Rouge, LA.

What is the least moved to state? ›

The 10 least popular states to move to in 2022:
  • New Jersey.
  • California.
  • Illinois.
  • New York.
  • Connecticut.
  • Utah.
  • Maryland.
  • Rhode Island.
Oct 1, 2022

Are we facing a population collapse? ›

According to the most authoritative population projections, calculated every few years by the United Nations Population Division, we will likely pass the 9 billion milestone in 2037, and peak around 10.4 billion in the 2080s. The UN does not foresee any significant population decline for the remainder of the century.

Is the US population declining? ›

In 2024, the United States continues to face significant demographic challenges. Propelled by falling birth rates, the U.S. population is rapidly aging and steadily declining. In turn, the country is experiencing economic and social pressures caused by labor shortages.

Is underpopulation a problem? ›

In fact, before long, we will have to start worrying about underpopulation, caused by rapidly falling birth rates. It turns out that this is bad news not only for humanity but also for the planet, because more humans means more available resources and less destructive impact on nature.

Why is Japan losing population? ›

Japan's population is rapidly aging due to a low birth rate and changing lifestyles, with the country's population anticipated to fall to 63 million by 2100. In response to this issue, the Japanese government has introduced measures such as increases to the child allowance and financial aid for young couples.

Why are people leaving rural areas? ›

People are leaving rural America for a variety of reasons: education, work, business opportunities, family. This is not only a population loss, but also a real loss of people, deeply felt by the communities in which they had lived much of their lives.

How many people can the world sustain? ›

On October 18, 2023, the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (2023) broadcast a Yes-or-No debate on the statement: “The population of humans that can be supported sustainably on the planet at a reasonable standard of living is below 4 billion.” Here is an abridged version of Joel E.

What U.S. state is growing the fastest? ›

In fact, the fastest-growing states were South Carolina and Florida, with growth of 1.7% and 1.6%, respectively. More states saw population growth in 2023 than there have been since the pandemic's beginning. At the state level, there was a population rise in 42 states and the District of Columbia.

What U.S. state has the lowest population? ›

Wyoming is ranked the lowest in the population, with only 576,851 residents.

What U.S. states are shrinking? ›

State highlights

Eight states continued to lose residents in 2023—New York (-0.52), Louisiana (-0.31%), Hawaii (-0.3%), Illinois (-0.26%), West Virginia (-0.22%), California (-0.19%), Oregon (-0.14%), and Pennsylvania (-0.08%)—and all did so at a slower pace than in the previous year.

What is the fastest shrinking state in the US? ›

The story of New York, the country's fastest shrinking state as of the latest Census release, is similar in this regard. New York lost 0.5% of its population between July 2022 and June 2023 and the previous Census had recorded a decreasing population in the state since 2016.

Where is population declining the fastest? ›

In the Cook Islands in 2023, the population decreased by about 2.31 percent compared to the previous year, making it the country with the highest population decline rate in 2023.

What is the most less populated city in the US? ›

The answer is the municipality with the city form of government with the smallest population in the US is: Freeport,Kansas with a population of 5 according to the US Census Bureau. Monowi, Nebraska is the smallest incorporated community, but it uses the village form of government.

What are the slowest growing cities? ›

When it comes to slow-growing cities (the right side of the chart), Detroit, Baltimore, Milwaukee, and Memphis have lost population; Chicago has barely held constant. Southern and Western cities round out this group: Long Beach, California, Albuquerque, Virginia Beach, Wichita, and El Paso.

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